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206.08, + 205.45, + 204.01, + 204.375, + 204.61, + 205.175, + 205.355, + 205.46, + 205.635, + 205.52, + 205.575, + 205.56, + 205.5, + 204.86, + 204.73, + 204.78, + 205.93, + 205.04, + 205.015, + 204, + 202.46, + 201.92, + 202.2, + 202.35, + 202.27, + 201.55, + 201.235, + 200.95, + 201.55, + 201.225, + 200.99, + 201.05 + ], + "text": { + "content": "Verisk\u2019s AIR Worldwide Updates Losses for Hurricane Ida to Include Impacts of Inland Flooding\nBy AIR Worldwide\nPublished on: 2021-09-13T11:04:00Z\n\nWind and storm surge losses will range from USD 17 to USD 25 billion, and private-market insured losses from inland flooding will range from USD 2.5 billion to USD 5 billion Wind and storm surge losses will range from USD 17 to USD 25 billion, and private-market insured losses from inland flooding will range from USD 2.5 billion to USD 5 billion\n\nArticle Content:\n\nSeptember 13, 2021 07:04 ET\n\n\r\n | Source:\r\n \nAIR Worldwide\n\n\n\n\n\nAIR Worldwide\n\r\n Boston, Massachusetts, UNITED STATES\nBoston, Massachusetts, UNITED STATES\nBOSTON, Sept. 13, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Extreme event modeling firm AIR Worldwide updated its insured loss estimates for Hurricane Ida after analyzing the inland flood impacts across the entirety of its track, including the Northeast. AIR now estimates that Ida\u2019s insured industry losses will range from USD 20 billion to USD 30 billion. AIR estimates wind and storm surge losses will range from USD 17 to USD 25 billion, and private-market insured losses from inland flooding will range from USD 2.5 billion to USD 5 billion.\nIncluded in the estimates are losses to onshore residential, commercial, industrial properties, and automobiles for their building, contents, and time element coverage, as well as estimated insurance take-up rates for wind and flood across the entirety of Ida\u2019s track, including the flooding that occurred in the Northeast.\u00a0AIR\u2019s losses do not include any estimate of losses from the National Flood Insurance Program, or any losses from offshore assets. The industry loss estimates also reflect an adjustment to account for increased material and other repair costs in the current construction market.Hurricane Ida made its first landfall as a Category 4 storm near Port Fourchon, Louisiana, about 60 miles south of New Orleans, at 11:55 a.m. CDT that day, with a maximum sustained wind speed of 150 mph. Ida made a second landfall just hours later at 2 p.m. CDT southwest of Galliano, Louisiana, with a maximum sustained wind speed of 145 mph. The storm produced heavy rains and dangerous storm surge.\nThe remnants of Hurricane Ida doused the Northeast and caused flooding damage and disruption across the region. Flooding was reported from Pennsylvania to Massachusetts, with New York, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania bearing the brunt of the impact.\nIn addition to the precipitation-induced flood impacts, damage was reported across several states due to hurricane-spun tornadoes. Further, some of the neighborhoods across the inland and northeastern states saw damage resulting from trees falling on homes. There were reports of many trees uprooting due to antecedent saturated soil conditions due to rainfall from Hurricane Henri a few weeks ago. Claims arising from these would be paid under the wind category.\nAccording to AIR and Xactware analyses, materials costs have gone up significantly in the past year from supply chain disruption in the construction market. Although these costs have moderated since their peak in July when they were 80% higher than September of last year, they remain about 30% higher. (Click this Xactware link for more details.) Repair costs are still up significantly.\nReconstruction costs are more expensive today than they were a year ago. The increase in the total reconstruction cost index means that costs are higher on average nationally; this affects the low- as well as the high-severity events. The difference in magnitude of the impact will come from the mix of construction materials used. For example, minor wind losses are less likely to require repairs that use more expensive inputs such as structural lumber; however, dwellings that are a total loss would require a broader mix of inputs that reflect the higher increases indicated by the total reconstruction index. These increases are outside the scope of demand surge, which tries to answer the cost increase question from a post\u2013extreme event perspective. Therefore, companies should bear these increases in mind and should expect the average claim to be higher before considering demand surge.\nAn additional source of uncertainty related to materials cost demand surge is the cost of diesel fuel, which has been impacted by the shutdown of refineries during Ida; this fuel would be used to transport materials. While some of these facilities were undamaged, the uncertainty around the timing of the restoration of the power grid and lack of electricity in the meantime is going to keep some of them from coming back online and contributing to the diesel fuel supply. For more details, click this Wood Mackenzie link.AIR\u2019s modeled insured loss estimates include:\nAIR\u2019s modeled insured loss estimates do not include:\nAbout AIR WorldwideAIR Worldwide (AIR) provides risk modeling solutions that make individuals, businesses, and society more resilient to extreme events. In 1987, AIR Worldwide founded the catastrophe modeling industry and today models the risk from natural catastrophes, terrorism, pandemics, casualty catastrophes, and cyber incidents. Insurance, reinsurance, financial, corporate, and government clients rely on AIR\u2019s advanced science, software, and consulting services for catastrophe risk management, insurance-linked securities, longevity modeling, site-specific engineering analyses, and agricultural risk management. AIR Worldwide, a Verisk (Nasdaq:VRSK) business, is headquartered in Boston, with additional offices in North America, Europe, and Asia. For more information, please visit www.air-worldwide.com.\n###\n\nSource: GlobeNewswire Inc.\n", + "timestamp_ms": 1631531040000, + "published_utc": "2021-09-13T11:04:00Z", + "article_url": "https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/09/13/2295630/0/en/Verisk-s-AIR-Worldwide-Updates-Losses-for-Hurricane-Ida-to-Include-Impacts-of-Inland-Flooding.html", + "label_type": [ + "[1][a] Macro & Economic News", + "[1][c] Company-Specific News", + "[2][a] Fundamental Analysis" + ], + "label_time": [ + "[1][a] Short-Term Retrospective (\u2264 3 months)", + "[2][b] Recent Trends (Past Few Weeks \u2013 Ongoing)" + ], + "label_sentiment": [ + "[2][a] Balanced/Informational" + ] + }, + "trend": { + "input_percentage_change": 4.382303083233103, + "input_bin_label": ">+4%", + "output_percentage_change": -1.297695479408053, + "output_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", + "overall_percentage_change": 5.283829074151656, + "overall_bin_label": ">+4%" + }, + "technical": { + "in_sma_10": [ + 190.96, + 191.45, + 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